Warriors.
It all comes down to Curry's MCL as far as I can tell. If he's 100% healthy, Warriors are the most likely to win. If he's not, the Spurs. I don't really give anyone a great chance besides those two. Spurs should take out the Thunder in the next 4 or 5 games, and as good as the Cavs are playing, I don't think they can realistically beat whoever comes out of the West.